It must be spring (Test Match Cricket bowled off this morning) and the flat turf season is in full swing as exemplified by today’s renewal of the popular Chester Cup.

This is a most peculiar track and experience on the course is vital.  It’s also interesting to note that four year olds have not produced a good record in this race (only 1 winner in the past six years and that was the heavily punted favourite in 2004, Anak Pekan).  This race tends to come a shade early in the year for them and, relatively speaking, is somewhat like asking a three year old to win the Cesarewitch – an uphill task if ever there was one.  In today’s renewal, the first three in the market are four year olds so there should be some good money to be made by opposing all of them.  And it’s not just a matter of age as there are question marks against all three.  Downhiller, the talking horse, must overcome a double digit draw (again, only Anak Pekan has accomplished this in the last four renewals) and an apparent preference for right handed tracks; Amerigo has been off the course for almost a year and is drawn in the car park (Johnny Murtagh an eye-catching booking though); and Daraahem will be uneasy on this fast ground.

The one I like is TILT (nap) who was a shade unlucky in this last year (squeezed out by the first two close home; 3/4l 3rd); has been laid out for this after an excellent 6th in the Cesarewitch and an easy re-appearance (cheekpieces off then; back on today); the trainer has entered a pacemaker (Dunaskin) to ensure a true pace; and the booking of Ryan Moore makes his low number draw the icing on the cake.

This one is a very, very good bet today especially as he is currently at an unbelievably  excellent each way price (double digit odds).  Run, do not walk, to the nearest betting windows and get in early and often!!  Keep on betting until you hear a voice say “BET NO MORE!!”  A  reverse forecast with rank outsider Inchnadamph (7th last year) could send us all to the South of France for our summer vacations!!

Good Luck!


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