GLORIOUS GOODWOOD PREVIEW2011

Glorious Goodwood, that most peculiar of mid-summer racing festivals, kicks off tomorrow (Tuesday, July 26) and ends on Saturday.
The going is expected to be good but punters should be very careful as this meeting is notorious for being a graveyard for favourites. This is due to the unique switchback nature of the track with its sweeping downhill right handed turn into the straight and its odd looped backstretch. Traffic troubles are the norm which tends to make predictions very difficult indeed. The track favours run on horses who swing wide of the field in the home stretch.
The 2 Group 1 races are the Sussex Stakes (Wednesday; 9:10 a.m. Jamaica time) for 3yo and upwards colts featuring the long awaited clash between superstars Canford Cliffs and Frankel; and the Nassau Stakes (Saturday; 9:05 a.m.) for fillies and mares.
The BANKER BET OF THE MEETING runs in the Sussex where I’m confidently expecting FRANKEL to establish himself as one of the all time greats by soundly defeating last year’s winner, Canford Cliffs. Canford Cliffs won this last year despite only managing 3rd in the 2,000 Guineas whilst FRANKEL, unbeaten in 7 career starts, won his Guineas by 6l in imperious fashion. At Ascot they each carried 126lbs to win truly run one mile Group 1 races on June 14 but Canford Cliff’s race (1:38.2), run over the straight mile was only 4/5th of a second faster than the time returned by FRANKEL (1:39.1) on the round. FRANKEL’s time was 0.76 second faster than standard (RP Speed figure 108) while Canford Cliff’s 1:38.2 was 0.62 second faster than standard (RP Speed Figure 100).

SUSSEX STAKES: No 4 FRANKEL (BANKER BET OF THE MEETING)

Tuesday, July 26
Tuesday’s Features are:
1. The Group 3 Gordon Stakes (3yo; 12f; 8:35 a.m.). Sir Michael Stoute won this race in 2008 with Conduit and 2009 with Harbinger so his rapidly progressing FIORENTE could be a very good thing indeed after his 5l 2nd to Nathaniel at Royal Ascot. All that Nathaniel did next time out was to win the Group 1 King George defeating Workforce so oppose FIORENTE at your peril.
GORDON STAKES SELECTION – No. 3 FIORENTE

2. The Group 2 Lennox Stakes (3yo; 7f; 9:10 a.m.). Strong Suit will be all the rage here after his impressive win at Royal Ascot in the Group 3 Jersey Stakes but Codemaster, second in that race, had only won a listed event previously and Strong Suit was subsequently only 3rd (beaten a head and a nose by Mutual Trust and Zoffany) in a French Group 1 at Chantilly over a mile. The drop back to 7f is likely to suit and he reportedly works “brilliantly” with Canford Cliffs at home but there’s a suspicion that he’ll always show his best at Ascot (where he has recorded both stakes wins) and that he might prefer some more give in the ground than he will get here. This is just the sort of Goodwood favourite that you want to oppose and the perfect opposition will come from Delegator, who has already won a Group 2 at 6f this year and who was victimized by the draw in the Group 1 July Cup but still managed 5th by 3l. But his post position is again not as good as he would have liked so a chance is taken on old stager BALTHAZAR’S GIFT who was only 2 1/2l 5th in this race from a bad draw last year; has only raced 3 times since (won a Group 2 over this trip; lost 2 Group 1s over 6f and a mile) and who has a plum draw.

LENNOX STAKES SELECTION: No 2 BALTHAZAR’S GIFT

Thursday’s King George Stakes (Group 2; 5f; 8:45 a.m.) is truly a lottery still as much will depend on the draw (low numbers likely to be best) and the ground but, on current good ground, a chance can be taken with KINGSGATE NATIVE who loves this super-quick Goodwood sprint track and who will enjoy the step down to Group 2 company.
But Thursday’s feature is the Goodwood Cup (Group 2; 2 miles; 9:15 a.m.) and none have a better chance than ELECTROLYSER, second in the race last year and then 4th in the Group 2 Lonsdale Cup at York (beaten only 1 1/4l). He started off badly this year but scoped dirty afterwards and so his de facto seasonal reappearance was a highly creditable 3rd of 8 in the Esher at Sandown. He’ll come on a ton for that run; is a lightly raced sort (only 13 runs and yet 6yo) and can land his first pattern race here.
KING GEORGE STAKES SELECTION: No 6 KINGSGATE NATIVE
GOODWOOD CUP SELECTION: No 7 ELECTROLYSER

SUMMARY OF FIRST THREE DAYS
BANKER BET OF THE MEETING = FRANKEL (Sussex Stakes; Wednesday 3.10p.m. GMT; 9:10 a.m. local time)
Second Best = FIORENTE (Gordon Stakes; Tuesday, 8:35 a.m.)
Third Best = ELECTROLYSER (Goodwood Cup; Thursday; 9:15 a.m.)
Good Luck!
THE TERRIBLE TOUT

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