FILLIES GUINEAS PREVIEW 2012

Tomorrow’s 1,000 Guineas promises to be one of the most exciting in years with a host of lightly raced improvers challenging the top 3 of Philistia, Trinithetutor and Exotic Gold.
Among the top 3, Philistia has the best credentials but hasn’t raced since her unlucky second, under an abysmally bad ride, in the 2yo Stakes on December 27; Trinithetutor has the class and speed but is still inexperienced (it’s unusual for a Guineas winner to be unraced as a 2yo); and Exotic Gold has the proven stamina but, in this her tenth start is beginning to look somewhat exposed so there can’t be much more to come from her.

Fillies Maestro, Wayne DaCosta, has trained three of the last ten 1,000 Guineas winners but this time, there’s a nagging doubt about whether Exotic Gold has the tactical speed to win a mile classic. With a question mark against each of the favoured three, this looks a wide open event likely to produce a stunning upset and the filly with the perfect profile to do just that is Trinithetutor’s stable companion AWESOME CAMILLE.
In her three outings as a 2yo before something went clearly amiss in the Grade 3 Pick 3 Trophy in November, AWESOME CAMILLE (nk 2nd to El Patron on debut without her subsequently regular lasix treatment) defeated Exotic Gold by 7 ¼ lengths then, with first time lasix treatment, won by 8 ½ lengths from Now with All Correct a further head away in 3rd. On her 3rd run, in sloppy underfoot conditions she clearly did not relish, she was beaten by 1 ¼ lengths into second by mud lark Ladylike, with Exotic Gold 2 ½ lengths behind her (again) in 3rd.

If this had been a 6f race in November last year, AWESOME CAMILLE would be a huge favourite over Exotic Gold. She returned in February and has quietly shown she’s at least as good as ever by beating Lashing Force before losing no caste whatsoever when beaten less than 3 lengths into 2nd by progressive imported superstar sprinter Richieshappynotion.

Her exercise reports have shown steady improvement especially when the figure eight (fitted on raceday for the first time tomorrow) is applied which should take care of any breathing problem she may have had in the past that might have made her seem a short runner. There is no doubt whatsoever in my mind that, if judiciously ridden, AWESOME CAMILLE will get the mile trip comfortably. She’s the first foal of 1,000 Guineas/Oaks winner, Lady T and a full sister to The Guardian who has won up to 7.5f in Open Allowance company. She comes from a dam line of champions as Lady T is a daughter of the classy Tantrum (by Exotic Traveller; one of the very few successful Exotic Traveller mares), a daughter of multiple winner, Fiery Footsteps (by Element) who herself is a daughter of (drum roll please) the one and only BONNIE BLUE FLAG (Horse of The Year; Grade 1 winner of the Governor’s Cup and 16 others; by Call Over) who, in addition to Fiery Footsteps, also produced surprise all the way 2,000 Guineas winner XTRA CLASSY (by Red Deamon) who had previously been considered purely a sprinter.

Don’t be fooled by the hype. Classic races are won by horses with class and speed. One mile classics are won by horses who quicken. Derbys and Oaks are won by stayers. Both Philistia and Exotic Gold impress more as Oaks types while Trinithetutor, who has all the ticks in the right boxes, may come up a shade short on experience.

Gary Subratie did it last year with a similar type in Niphal. Look for his second stringer AWESOME CAMILLE, to be ridden patiently in a stalking position before quickening up to lead over 2 ½ furlongs out and fending off closers Trinithetutor and Exotic Gold.

SELECTION Race 10, #7 AWESOME CAMILLE

Good Luck!

THE TERRIBLE TOUT

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